strategic foresight

The Maldives faces convergent pressures over the next 15 years – demographic aging, climate acceleration, geopolitical realignment, AI disruption, health system strain – and the current planning horizon is too short to prepare for any of them. These briefs map what's coming, what the current policy consensus looks like, what other countries do, and what building genuine resilience requires.

public policy lab · policylabmv.com · @policylabmv
Reading order

Seven briefs in analytical sequence

Digital foresight tools · in development

Digital planning tools for foresight workshops

We are building interactive digital versions of the foresight methodology tools used in planning workshops. The idea is that instead of marker-and-flipboard approaches, teams can use these on a shared screen to collaboratively work through structured planning while still following established foresight principles – with outputs saved and combined into a detailed planning report ready at the end of a session. We use these in workshops we facilitate, and plan to make them more broadly available as they mature. If you’re interested in running a foresight workshop with our team, contact info@policylabmv.com.

Influence mapper
Map drivers and their relationships in an interactive matrix. Identify which factors influence which others and trace cascading effects.
In development
Futures wheel
Visualise cause-and-effect relationships in a radial diagram. Trace first, second, and third-order consequences of trends and decisions.
In development
Scenario lab
Evaluate strategies across different scenarios using a 2×2 matrix. Test which approaches are robust, partial, or fragile under varying conditions.
In development
Strategic compass
Organise strategic factors by PESTLE category (Political, Economic, Social, Technological, Legal, Environmental) in an interactive compass layout.
In development
Vision pathways
Map causal relationships from root causes through to visions and pathways. Trace how interventions connect problems to desired outcomes.
In development
Planning report
A combined planning report tool that embeds each of the above with narrative structure, ready for export at the end of a workshop session.
In development